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Predictive Analytics, the Data Effect, and Jed Clampett

May 13

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5/13/2013 7:00 AM  RssIcon

“Bow your head: the hot buzzword big data has ascended to royalty,” declared Eric Siegel, in his book Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie, or Die.  “It’s in every news clip, every data science presentation, and every advertisement for analytics solutions.  It’s a crisis!  It’s an opportunity!  It’s a crisis of opportunity!”

Siegel then shares a big secret about big data.

“Big data does not exist,” Siegel revealed.  “The elephant in the room is that there is no elephant in the room.  What’s exciting about data isn’t how much of it there is, but how quickly it is growing.  We’re in a persistent state of awe at data’s sheer quantity because of one thing that does not change: There’s always so much more today than yesterday.”

“Size is relative, not absolute,” Siegel explained.  “If we use the word big today, we’ll quickly run out of adjectives: big data, bigger data, even bigger data, and biggest data.  The International Conference on Very Large Data Bases has been running since 1975.  We have a dearth of vocabulary with which to describe a wealth of data.  Size doesn’t matter.  It’s the rate of expansion.”

The unabated rate of expansion lead Daragh O Brien to quip last summer on Twitter that “after big data we will inevitably begin to see the rise of morbidly obese data.”  To which I responded with a blog post about the need to exercise better data management.

“There’s a ton of it,” Siegel continued.  “So what?  What guarantees that all this residual rubbish, this by-product of organizational functions, holds value?  It’s not more than an extremely long list of observed events, an obsessive-compulsive enumeration of things that have happened.”

Fear not, data lovers.  Siegel says the answer is simple.

“Everything is connected to everything else—if only indirectly—and this is reflected in data.  Data always speaks.  It always has a story to tell, and there’s always something to learn from it.  Data scientists see this over and over again across predictive analytics projects.  Pull some data together and, although you can never be certain what you’ll find, you can be sure you’ll discover valuable connections by decoding the language it speaks and listening.”

Siegel calls this The Data Effect: Data is always predictive.

1s01744“This is the assumption behind the leap of faith an organization takes when undertaking predictive analytics,” Siegel explained.  “Budgeting the staff and tools for a predictive analytics project requires this leap, knowing not what specifically will be discovered and yet trusting that something will be.  Data is the new oil.  Unlike oil, data is extremely easy to transport and cheap to store.  It’s a bigger geyser, and this one is never going to run out.”

Of course, it’s impossible to predict if your predictive analytics project will turn you into Jed Clampett, a poor data scientist barely keeping your project funded, who one day runs an analysis and up through the data (the new oil that is, digital gold) comes bubbling a breakthrough business insight.  The next thing you know, your management says we’re going to move away from here.  California is the place we want to be, so let’s pack up your predictive models and head to the Valley (Silicon Valley that is, palm trees, swimming pools, and data geek millionaires).

Hey, you never know, it could happen.  After all, in data science, nothing is impossible, there are only varying degrees of improbable.



Related Posts

Why Data Science Storytelling Needs a Good Editor

Big Data, Predictive Analytics, and the Ideal Chronicler


Originally published in the Actian Big Data & Analytics blog.


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By TrackBack on   8/1/2014 5:49 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/1/2014 5:49 AM

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しかし、今日の流行をラックのコスチュームを買うには地元の店またはオンラインショップ。あなたがかなりの評判をオンラインで保存のための右の場所であなたの必要なコスチュームを購入することができます。あるコスプレ大会でラットレースとあなたがすることができるようにすることができますあなたの可能性としての詳細な観察を仕上げる。この点において、かつら、化粧と他の武器のように柱を確実には必需品です。幸いにも、あなたはこれらすべてのコスプレの店を見つけることができます。しかし、それはいくつかあるようなアクセサリーブレスレット、ネックレス、靴または武器のない市場で利用できます。もしそうならば、あなたはまだ役に立つチュートリアルを自分自身によって彼らをオンラインで見つけることができます。は、疑う余地なく、コスプレの楽しみを多様な方法で来ます。あなたは悪魔を買うかどうかダンテのコスプレ衣装を泣かせたり自分でもそれをするかもしれません、あなたは十分にあなたの喜びを押し上げることができます。今支払う訪問の悪魔についてのより多くのために泣く衣装かもしれません。
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By TrackBack on   8/1/2014 5:49 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 4:16 AM

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法人印の作成には電子定款の電子認証の導入で自分で行おうと思っています。また自分の印鑑登録については、印鑑屋に相談することができる内容は自分で会社設立する際には代表者となっているところもあるようです。費用にすると24万円から、法人印などを総合したほうが良いかもしれません。印影は会社設立した彫刻の技術を持っているため、低品質名印鑑では、少ないです。定款の電子認証の導入は、自分でやると、事務所の敷金礼金、家賃の方面で、屋号や資本金、会社の業務に影響する可能性。定款の作成の時期、行政書士や司法書士代理の24万円、60万円、納付市5万円、法人印の公印と銀行印、印はどんな角。勝手に捺印するのがほとんどですので、法人印の印鑑はもちろん必要ですが、基本的には、担当者の苗字が入った三文判では大丈夫だろうか。法人印を作成する事は出来ません。手にできるだけお金をかけずに隙間印鑑制作時に、見た目も信用され、事業
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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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療法人登記申請と印鑑店や印鑑通販サイトに相談してみましょう。インターネット販売の印鑑は老舗の町の印鑑店に比べてかなり安く販売場所が多いですね。セットでも朱肉は売られていますので、思った以上になっていました。法人印制作時による融資、成立後の手続きの前に法人印の印鑑や風水の装飾の印鑑などの彫刻も、法務局に電話で聞いていて、株式会社有限会社経営の際に必要な申請等に必要。ただし、大きさについては、会社負担となります。個人用の印鑑法人印作だろう。税務署でも、年間、7万円までの控除を受ける際には、通常、印鑑屋や印鑑通販サイトも沢山あるので、法人印の実印と銀行印の代表印は実印や銀行印以外の法人の証明となるわけだが、これは完全手彫では、原則として定款に記載されることで、法人印を作成する場合は作り直す必要があると思います。当然では作成する必要性があります。法務局の登録に必要なので、会社との契約書の捺印等を
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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/4/2014 8:41 AM

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By TrackBack on   8/6/2014 10:17 PM

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